Bill Gates predicts ‘nearly-free’ hardware in 10 years.

Bill Gates tries his hand at ESP by predicting that powerful computer hardware will be so cheap in ten years that it’ll practically be free. Plus, the computers of the future will interact with you using plain speech and be able to recognize handwriting. Oh and programmers will be able to create programs using symbolic code rather than coding line by line.

Gates foresees ‘almost free’ hardware | CNET

“Ten years out, in terms of actual hardware costs, you can almost think of hardware as being free—I’m not saying it will be absolutely free—but in terms of the power of the servers, the power of the network will not be a limiting factor,’’ Gates said Monday at a symposium in San Diego, referring to networked computers and advances in the Internet’s speed.

“Many of the holy grails of computing that have been worked on over the last 30 years will be solved within this 10-year period, with speech being in every device and having a device that’s like a tablet that you just carry around,’’ Gates said at the Gartner Symposium ITxpo, sponsored by market researcher Gartner.

Not surprisingly Microsoft is already offering products that try to deliver on these predictions already such as Speech Server 2004 which could explain why he’s so bullish on his vision of the future.

I don’t know about all of that as I’m still disappointed that here we are in 2004 and I still don’t have either a flying car OR a laser death-ray. Dammit.

6 thoughts on “Bill Gates predicts ‘nearly-free’ hardware in 10 years.

  1. I’d like to have everything linked, like in the movies where the phone, internet, and everything else is hooked up everywhere. i could go for a laser death-ray too.

  2. Like artificial intelligence?

    elwedriddsche, folks may be further along than you think. There was an article in the Post Dispatch (Jan 25) describing work done by Stephan Thaler, a neural network researcher. For a synopsis of the article, follow this link and then do a word search for Tina Hesman. (Archived articles at the P-D are pay per view.)

  3. This report on that page caught my eye:

    March 17, 2004: Software agent targets chatroom paedophiles. By Duncan Graham-Rowe. New Scientist Magazine (p. 23). “Paedophiles attempting to ‘groom’ children in internet chatrooms can now be detected by a computer program. The program works by putting on a convincing impression of a young person taking part in a chatroom conversation. At the same time it analyses the behaviour of the person it is chatting with, looking for classic signs of grooming: paedophiles pose as children as they attempt to arrange meetings with the children they befriend. Called ChatNannies, the software was developed in the UK by Jim Wightman, an IT consultant from Wolverhampton in the West Midlands. It creates thousands of sub-programs, called nanniebots, which log on to different chatrooms and strike up conversations with users and groups of users. …

    Chatroom and IM bots are nothing new. There was an IRC bot named Jenny18 that allegedly brought a few horny guys to orgasm. I had a working link for the transcripts, but they now 404.

    This one, however, raises quite a number of issues. What I’m waiting for, of course, is for one bot to capture another…

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